The 83rd Annual Golden Globes ceremony takes place Sunday, January 11, 2026 at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills. Nikki Glaser returns as host for the second consecutive year. One Battle After Another leads all films with nine nominations, while The White Lotus tops television shows with six nominations.
The Golden Globes will honor the best in film, television, and for the first time, podcasts. Voters from the Golden Globes organization have cast their ballots. Now comes the fun part: predicting who will take home the trophies.
Here are the predictions for all 28 categories based on expert analysis, odds from Gold Derby, prediction markets, and early awards momentum.
Film Categories
Best Motion Picture – Drama
Winner Prediction: Hamnet
The race is between Hamnet and Sentimental Value. Chloé Zhao’s adaptation of the bestselling novel has gained momentum with critics groups. The film earned six nominations including Best Picture, Director, Actress (Jessie Buckley), and Supporting Actor (Paul Mescal).
Sinners remains a threat with seven nominations and strong box office performance. The Secret Agent could pull an upset similar to last year’s I’m Still Here surprise. Frankenstein and It Was Just an Accident round out the field.
Nominees:
- Frankenstein
- Hamnet
- It Was Just an Accident
- Sentimental Value
- Sinners
- The Secret Agent
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Winner Prediction: One Battle After Another
This feels like a lock. Paul Thomas Anderson’s Revolutionary War father-daughter epic swept early critics awards including the Gotham Awards, New York Film Critics Circle, National Board of Review, and Los Angeles Film Critics Association. With nine total nominations, the film dominates this category.
Some debate exists about whether it belongs in comedy, but that controversy has been muted. The other five nominees have less than 1 percent chance to win according to Gold Derby odds.
Nominees:
- Blue Moon
- Bugonia
- Marty Supreme
- No Other Choice
- Nouvelle Vague
- One Battle After Another
Best Motion Picture – Animated
Winner Prediction: KPop Demon Hunters
The Netflix phenomenon holds strong as the frontrunner. The film became Netflix’s most popular animated movie of all time, with songs “Your Idol” and “Golden” topping charts for months. The film earned multiple Grammy nominations and generated a massive global fanbase.
Zootopia 2 trails closely despite typical Academy skepticism toward sequels. Its near-$1 billion box office and A CinemaScore helps its campaign. Demon Slayer and Elio could surprise.
Nominees:
- Arco
- Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – Infinity Castle
- Elio
- KPop Demon Hunters
- Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
- Zootopia 2
Best Motion Picture – Non-English Language
Winner Prediction: Sentimental Value
Joachim Trier’s Norwegian drama earned eight nominations total, the second-most of any film. The Grand Prix winner from Cannes has strong momentum across multiple categories including acting nominations for Renate Reinsve, Elle Fanning, Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, and Stellan Skarsgård.
It Was Just an Accident (Palme d’Or winner from Jafar Panahi) and The Secret Agent (Brazil’s potential breakout like last year’s I’m Still Here) are serious contenders.
Nominees:
- It Was Just an Accident
- No Other Choice
- Sentimental Value
- Sirāt
- The Secret Agent
- The Voice of Hind Rajab
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Winner Prediction: Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
Buckley is the frontrunner for her portrayal of Shakespeare’s wife Agnes in this adaptation of Maggie O’Farrell’s novel. She’s described as “a locked and loaded contender” by awards experts.
Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value) is her main competition. Julia Roberts (After the Hunt) and Jennifer Lawrence (Die My Love) could surprise. Tessa Thompson and Eva Victor round out the field.
Nominees:
- Eva Victor – Sorry, Baby
- Jennifer Lawrence – Die My Love
- Jessie Buckley – Hamnet
- Julia Roberts – After the Hunt
- Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value
- Tessa Thompson – Hedda
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Winner Prediction: Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
This is the most unpredictable category. Wagner Moura could mirror last year’s Fernanda Torres breakout from I’m Still Here. The Narcos star’s thriller performance has generated buzz for potentially continuing Latin American cinema’s awards surge.
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) looks strong bolstered by his film’s overall chances. Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) earned his first film nomination. Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein) and Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) remain in contention.
Nominees:
- Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine
- Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
- Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams
- Michael B. Jordan – Sinners
- Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein
- Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Winner Prediction: Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You)
Byrne swept early critics groups, claiming victories at Los Angeles Film Critics Association, New York Film Critics Circle, and National Board of Review. She’s the clear favorite.
Emma Stone (Bugonia) and Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good) could challenge. Chase Infiniti earned her first nomination for One Battle After Another.
Nominees:
- Amanda Seyfried – The Testament of Ann Lee
- Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another
- Cynthia Erivo – Wicked: For Good
- Emma Stone – Bugonia
- Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue
- Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Winner Prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
DiCaprio leads this two-horse race. His film’s dominance across categories and his Golden Globe track record (he has four wins already) make him the favorite.
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme) is his main challenger. If Chalamet wins, he’d have five Golden Globes total. Lee Byung-Hun (No Other Choice) could become the first Asian winner in this category.
Nominees:
- Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon
- George Clooney – Jay Kelly
- Jesse Plemons – Bugonia
- Lee Byung-Hun – No Other Choice
- Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another
- Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Winner Prediction: Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)
Fanning is the clear critical frontrunner. However, Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) brings pop-culture chaos to this category with massive mainstream heat. This creates one of the most competitive races of the night.
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) benefits from her film’s momentum. The two actresses from Sentimental Value (Fanning and Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas) could split votes.
Nominees:
- Amy Madigan – Weapons
- Ariana Grande – Wicked: For Good
- Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value
- Emily Blunt – The Smashing Machine
- Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value
- Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Winner Prediction: Paul Mescal (Hamnet)
Mescal earned his first Golden Globe nomination for playing Shakespeare’s son Hamnet. The Irish actor’s performance in the critically lauded drama positions him as the favorite.
Sean Penn and Benicio del Toro (both from One Battle After Another) could benefit from their film’s nine nominations. Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) and Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value) remain threats.
Nominees:
- Adam Sandler – Jay Kelly
- Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another
- Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein
- Paul Mescal – Hamnet
- Sean Penn – One Battle After Another
- Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value
Best Director – Motion Picture
Winner Prediction: Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
PTA remains the favorite after his film dominated the nominations with nine nods. He already swept early critics awards for Best Director.
Guillermo del Toro (Frankenstein) and Chloé Zhao (Hamnet) keep the category extremely tight. Ryan Coogler (Sinners) positions himself as a late-season disruptor after topping Critics Choice nominations.
Nominees:
- Chloé Zhao – Hamnet
- Guillermo del Toro – Frankenstein
- Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident
- Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value
- Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another
- Ryan Coogler – Sinners
Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Winner Prediction: Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
Anderson sweeps this category alongside Director. His original screenplay earned praise from critics groups and positions him for a dominant night.
Ryan Coogler (Sinners) and the team behind Hamnet (Chloé Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell) are main challengers. Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt (Sentimental Value) could surprise.
Nominees:
- Chloé Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell – Hamnet
- Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident
- Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt – Sentimental Value
- Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another
- Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme
- Ryan Coogler – Sinners
Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Winner Prediction: Jonny Greenwood (One Battle After Another)
Greenwood’s fifth collaboration with Paul Thomas Anderson positions him as the frontrunner. The Radiohead guitarist’s score complements the film’s Revolutionary War setting.
Ludwig Göransson (Sinners), Hans Zimmer (F1), and Max Richter (Hamnet) are serious contenders. Alexandre Desplat (Frankenstein) has won this category before.
Nominees:
- Alexandre Desplat – Frankenstein
- Hans Zimmer – F1
- Jonny Greenwood – One Battle After Another
- Kangding Ray – Sirāt
- Ludwig Göransson – Sinners
- Max Richter – Hamnet
Best Original Song – Motion Picture
Winner Prediction: “Golden” (KPop Demon Hunters)
The song from KPop Demon Hunters topped charts for months and earned Grammy nominations. Its global popularity and cultural impact make it the favorite.
“Dream As One” from Avatar: Fire and Ash (Miley Cyrus) and Stephen Schwartz’s two songs from Wicked: For Good could challenge. Nick Cave’s “Train Dreams” remains in contention.
Nominees:
- “Dream As One” – Avatar: Fire and Ash (Miley Cyrus, Andrew Wyatt, Mark Ronson, Simon Franglen)
- “Golden” – KPop Demon Hunters (Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seo, Park Hong Jun, Kim Eun-jae, Mark Sonnenblick)
- “I Lied to You” – Sinners (Raphael Saadiq, Ludwig Göransson)
- “No Place Like Home” – Wicked: For Good (Stephen Schwartz)
- “The Girl in the Bubble” – Wicked: For Good (Stephen Schwartz)
- “Train Dreams” – Train Dreams (Nick Cave, Bryce Dessner)
Cinematic and Box Office Achievement
Winner Prediction: Wicked: For Good
Despite missing Best Picture (Musical/Comedy), Wicked: For Good dominates the box office and deserves recognition here. The musical sequel earned massive commercial success.
Sinners (strong box office), F1, and Avatar: Fire and Ash (yet to open but highly anticipated) are main competitors. This category remains the most unpredictable.
Nominees:
- Avatar: Fire and Ash
- F1
- KPop Demon Hunters
- Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning
- Sinners
- Weapons
- Wicked: For Good
- Zootopia 2
Television Categories
Best Television Series – Drama
Winner Prediction: The White Lotus
The White Lotus leads with six nominations total and has proven Golden Globes track record. The anthology series set in a posh Thailand resort earned acting nods for five cast members.
Severance is the main challenger if voters prefer cerebral sci-fi over social satire. The Pitt (fresh off Emmy wins) and Slow Horses remain threats.
Nominees:
- The Diplomat
- The Pitt
- Pluribus
- Severance
- Slow Horses
- The White Lotus
Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Winner Prediction: The Bear
The Bear feels like the fresh, buzzy contender poised for a big night. The FX show earned three nominations total.
Abbott Elementary and Only Murders in the Building (four nominations) are serious threats, especially if voters reward consistency over novelty. The Studio dominated the Emmys with record-breaking wins.
Nominees:
- Abbott Elementary
- The Bear
- Hacks
- Nobody Wants This
- Only Murders in the Building
- The Studio
Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television
Winner Prediction: Adolescence
Adolescence has the nomination count (five total) and narrative momentum to win. The Netflix series told in one continuous shot dominated this category with four acting nominations.
Black Mirror is the most recognizable brand name and could surprise if its strongest episodes resonated with voters. The Beast in Me earned three nominations.
Nominees:
- Adolescence
- All Her Fault
- The Beast in Me
- Black Mirror
- Dying for Sex
- The Girlfriend
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Drama
Winner Prediction: Britt Lower (Severance)
Lower won the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama and carries that momentum into the Globes. Her performance in Severance’s second season earned critical acclaim.
Keri Russell (The Diplomat) and Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) are main challengers. Bella Ramsey (The Last of Us) could surprise.
Nominees:
- Kathy Bates – Matlock
- Britt Lower – Severance
- Helen Mirren – MobLand
- Bella Ramsey – The Last of Us
- Keri Russell – The Diplomat
- Rhea Seehorn – Pluribus
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Drama
Winner Prediction: Adam Scott (Severance)
Scott feels like the favorite, especially if voters want to recognize Severance somewhere. The actor earned critical praise for the Apple TV+ show’s return.
Diego Luna (Andor) is the likely spoiler riding love for the Star Wars series. Noah Wyle (The Pitt) benefits from Emmy momentum. Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) remains a threat.
Nominees:
- Adam Scott – Severance
- Diego Luna – Andor
- Gary Oldman – Slow Horses
- Mark Ruffalo – Task
- Noah Wyle – The Pitt
- Sterling K. Brown – Paradise
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Winner Prediction: Jean Smart (Hacks)
Smart has won this category before and delivers another standout performance. Hacks earned three nominations total.
Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building) and Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) are main challengers. Kristen Bell (Nobody Wants This) could surprise with the show’s three nominations.
Nominees:
- Ayo Edebiri – The Bear
- Jean Smart – Hacks
- Jenna Ortega – Wednesday
- Kristen Bell – Nobody Wants This
- Natasha Lyonne – Poker Face
- Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Winner Prediction: Jeremy Allen White (The Bear)
White has won this category three years in a row for playing chef Carmy. He’s the favorite for a fourth consecutive win.
Seth Rogen (The Studio) won the Emmy and could challenge. Steve Martin and Martin Short (both Only Murders in the Building) could split votes. Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) rounds out the field.
Nominees:
- Adam Brody – Nobody Wants This
- Glen Powell – Chad Powers
- Jeremy Allen White – The Bear
- Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building
- Seth Rogen – The Studio
- Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television
Winner Prediction: Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex)
Williams earned critical acclaim for the FX series. She’s the frontrunner in this competitive category.
Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) and Claire Danes (The Beast in Me) are main challengers. Amanda Seyfried (Long Bright River) earned her second nomination of the ceremony.
Nominees:
- Amanda Seyfried – Long Bright River
- Claire Danes – The Beast in Me
- Michelle Williams – Dying for Sex
- Rashida Jones – Black Mirror
- Robin Wright – The Girlfriend
- Sarah Snook – All Her Fault
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television
Winner Prediction: Stephen Graham (Adolescence)
Graham’s performance in the one-shot Netflix series earned widespread critical acclaim. He’s the favorite with Adolescence’s five total nominations.
Charlie Hunnam (Monster: The Ed Gein Story), Jude Law (Black Rabbit), and Matthew Rhys (The Beast in Me) are main challengers. Jacob Elordi earned his second nomination for The Narrow Road to the Deep North.
Nominees:
- Charlie Hunnam – Monster: The Ed Gein Story
- Jacob Elordi – The Narrow Road to the Deep North
- Jude Law – Black Rabbit
- Matthew Rhys – The Beast in Me
- Paul Giamatti – Black Mirror
- Stephen Graham – Adolescence
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television
Winner Prediction: Carrie Coon (The White Lotus)
Three actresses from The White Lotus earned nominations (Coon, Parker Posey, Aimee Lou Wood). Coon is the frontrunner among them.
Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) and Erin Doherty (Adolescence) could surprise. Catherine O’Hara (The Studio) brings Emmy momentum.
Nominees:
- Aimee Lou Wood – The White Lotus
- Carrie Coon – The White Lotus
- Catherine O’Hara – The Studio
- Erin Doherty – Adolescence
- Hannah Einbinder – Hacks
- Parker Posey – The White Lotus
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role on Television
Winner Prediction: Tramell Tillman (Severance)
Tillman won the Emmy and carries that momentum. His performance in Severance season 2 earned critical acclaim.
Walton Goggins and Jason Isaacs (both The White Lotus) could benefit from their show’s six nominations. Owen Cooper and Ashley Walters (both Adolescence) round out the field.
Nominees:
- Ashley Walters – Adolescence
- Billy Crudup – The Morning Show
- Jason Isaacs – The White Lotus
- Owen Cooper – Adolescence
- Tramell Tillman – Severance
- Walton Goggins – The White Lotus
Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television
Winner Prediction: Ricky Gervais (Mortality)
Gervais is a Golden Globes veteran (he hosted five times) and brings name recognition. His Netflix special Mortality tackles serious themes with his signature style.
Sarah Silverman (Postmortem) and Kevin Hart (Acting My Age) are main challengers. Brett Goldstein and Kumail Nanjiani earned their first nominations.
Nominees:
- Bill Maher: Is Anyone Else Seeing This?
- Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life
- Kevin Hart: Acting My Age
- Kumail Nanjiani: Night Thoughts
- Ricky Gervais: Mortality
- Sarah Silverman: Postmortem
Best Podcast
Winner Prediction: SmartLess
SmartLess is the safest pick, combining celebrity hosts Jason Bateman, Will Arnett, and Sean Hayes with mainstream popularity. It fits what a “Golden Globe podcast” sounds like.
Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard is a close second. Call Her Daddy is the wild card if voters embrace a younger-skewing hit. The Joe Rogan Experience (the No. 1 podcast in America) was notably excluded.
Nominees:
- Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
- Call Her Daddy
- Good Hang with Amy Poehler
- The Mel Robbins Podcast
- SmartLess
- Up First
Special Awards
Cecil B. DeMille Award: Helen Mirren
Carol Burnett Award: Sarah Jessica Parker
The 2026 Golden Globes shape up to be one of the most dramatic and unpredictable ceremonies in years. One Battle After Another and Sentimental Value dominate the film conversation, while The White Lotus and The Bear lead television races.
Awards season is a marathon, not a sprint. Last year, Anora went home empty-handed from the Globes but won five Oscars including Best Picture two months later. The Globes can jumpstart somebody’s prospects or provide an early indicator of Oscar momentum.
The ceremony airs live Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 8 PM ET/5 PM PT on CBS and streams on Paramount+ in the United States. Nikki Glaser returns as host for the second consecutive year.